PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)89% (446–56, n=502)46% (119–138, n=257)95% (1938–95, n=2033)
Consensus PnL$41K$9.5M$18.7M$36.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #715PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −8 pts, n=259—
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)7% (won 81% of 37)0% (won 0% of 5)1% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)39% (won 85% of 197)41% (won 48% of 575)41% (won 100% of 670)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)49% (won 94% of 244)58% (won 51% of 819)49% (won 100% of 805)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)5% (won 96% of 24)0% (won 100% of 4)9% (won 100% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.