PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)92% (701–62, n=763)59% (2322–1582, n=3904)95% (1938–95, n=2033)
Consensus PnL$41K$14.4M$36K$36.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993was PM monthly #999PM monthly #247PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 2 open)78% (100 of 128 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Tennis −4 pts, n=294—
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%56% of 4201 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)2% (won 100% of 14)28% (won 7% of 1156)1% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)15% (won 97% of 113)12% (won 36% of 520)41% (won 100% of 670)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)65% (won 99% of 477)15% (won 61% of 611)49% (won 100% of 805)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)17% (won 100% of 127)46% (won 90% of 1914)9% (won 100% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.