PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x11111111110x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710NiNo999GoalLineGhost
Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)49% (1212–1266, n=2478)89% (446–56, n=502)59% (2999–2052, n=5051)
Consensus PnL$41K$60K$9.5M$26.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #985PM monthly #123
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)33% (4 of 12 open)no open consensus position49% (21 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)24% (won 19% of 254)7% (won 81% of 37)9% (won 94% of 286)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)23% (won 40% of 241)39% (won 85% of 197)11% (won 98% of 330)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)29% (won 70% of 304)49% (won 94% of 244)22% (won 99% of 697)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)24% (won 89% of 250)5% (won 96% of 24)58% (won 100% of 1787)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.