PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)46% (119–138, n=257)67% (385–193, n=578)49% (7025–7367, n=14392)
Consensus PnL$41K$18.7M$172K$13.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993was PM monthly #715PM monthly #239Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)82% (14 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −8 pts, n=259——
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)0% (won 0% of 5)5% (won 47% of 30)10% (won 49% of 2167)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)41% (won 48% of 575)42% (won 60% of 256)22% (won 92% of 4547)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)58% (won 51% of 819)45% (won 75% of 279)36% (won 98% of 7502)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)0% (won 100% of 4)8% (won 92% of 50)31% (won 100% of 6514)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.