PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0f7ab62188e1fe1233d329ff4d75936811aa454b-1793036783897goldmynamedarkumbreon88Tyatsmr
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (94–63, n=157)66% (1624–844, n=2468)62% (186–112, n=298)
Consensus PnL—-$5.0K-$6.7K$19K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #669was PM monthly #960was PM monthly #833PM monthly #986
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)83% (5 of 6 open)67% (8 of 12 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +3 pts n=29, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=30, ROI +7%
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=73—Elections −3 pts, n=42
Settled positions, side won—64% of 157 at avg 68¢, ROI 0%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 20% of 5)1% (won 100% of 16)30% (won 19% of 74)
Entries 30–50¢—45% (won 33% of 70)9% (won 100% of 133)17% (won 59% of 41)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 67% of 12)38% (won 100% of 552)17% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 70¢ and up—45% (won 99% of 70)51% (won 100% of 743)36% (won 98% of 90)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x0f7ab62188e1fe1233d329ff4d75936811aa454b-1793036783897goldmynamedarkumbreon88Tyatsmr
Suns vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $6.5KThunder $1.1K—
Wizards vs. Hornets
same side · consensus Hornets
—Wizards $263Wizards $50—