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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00biying99999BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (124–131, n=255)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (987–572, n=1559)
Consensus PnL—$14K$7.9M$3.2M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #444PM monthly #3PM monthly #102
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (27 of 34 open)74% (99 of 134 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=60, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—100% of 111 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—0%11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 60)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 100% of 49)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00biying99999BreakTheBankndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $407KNo $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $278KYes $11K