Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4ndb1skadii
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market65% (901–484, n=1385)47% (174–200, n=374)
Consensus PnL——$4.4M-$110K
Tracked as——PM monthly #101was PM monthly #656
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (106 of 151 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won——64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%46% of 355 at avg 46¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢——13% (won 15% of 168)27% (won 15% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢——20% (won 39% of 256)31% (won 42% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢——24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 66% of 93)
Entries 70¢ and up——43% (won 93% of 550)16% (won 79% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.