Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4joseph00677peasant
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market45% (10–12, n=22)57% (162–122, n=284)
Consensus PnL——$5.3M$128K
Tracked as——PM monthly #2PM monthly #535
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Politics −5 pts, n=51
Settled positions, side won——59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%58% of 273 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢——12% (won 0% of 2)21% (won 11% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢——6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 38% of 45)
Entries 50–70¢——65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 62% of 63)
Entries 70¢ and up——18% (won 67% of 3)40% (won 89% of 108)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.