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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4biying99999ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market49% (117–124, n=241)65% (886–468, n=1354)
Consensus PnL——$15K$4.2M
Tracked as——was PM monthly #444PM monthly #145
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=59, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won——100% of 106 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢——0%13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢——55% (won 100% of 58)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢——43% (won 100% of 46)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up——2% (won 100% of 2)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.