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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | tugator | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 12% (34–243, n=277) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $6.1M | $11.0M | -$135K |
| Tracked as | — | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #879 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (42 of 63 open) | 91% (81 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Crypto −34 pts, n=189 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 22% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI −19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 5% (won 0% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 78% (won 10% of 167) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 5% (won 36% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 13% (won 100% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | tugator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.5K | — | No $11K |