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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4BreakTheBankskadii
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market45% (571–700, n=1271)46% (171–198, n=369)
Consensus PnL——$9.4M-$105K
Tracked as——PM monthly #1was PM monthly #656
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (17 of 30 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%46% of 355 at avg 46¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢——11% (won 80% of 61)27% (won 15% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢——35% (won 98% of 203)31% (won 42% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢——35% (won 100% of 201)26% (won 66% of 93)
Entries 70¢ and up——20% (won 100% of 115)16% (won 79% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.