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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4BreakTheBankgroth
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market46% (555–663, n=1218)75% (231–75, n=306)
Consensus PnL——$11.2M$156K
Tracked as——PM monthly #2PM monthly #925
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position63% (19 of 30 open)63% (10 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%71% of 310 at avg 58¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢——10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 18% of 90)
Entries 30–50¢——36% (won 98% of 201)7% (won 62% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢——35% (won 99% of 196)15% (won 87% of 46)
Entries 70¢ and up——19% (won 100% of 109)49% (won 98% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.