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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4BreakTheBankThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)70% (204–89, n=293)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$6.1M$11.0M$61K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #212
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)68% (77 of 114 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93—Crypto ±0 pts, n=133
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%76% of 328 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 24% of 38)
Entries 30–50¢0%30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)11% (won 44% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)9% (won 66% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up0%14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)69% (won 91% of 225)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00beachboy4BreakTheBankThanksGivingTurkey1001
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.4KNo $36K