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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | Aurelius7 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 57% (235–175, n=410) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $3.2K | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (28 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Culture −2 pts, n=23 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 67% of 388 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 16% (won 40% of 62) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 61% (won 84% of 237) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 6% (won 96% of 25) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | Aurelius7 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | — | Yes $4 | — | Yes $604K |