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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00Albihime217255BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL—$60K$7.9M$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #465PM monthly #3PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position82% (23 of 28 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—100% of 1 at avg 64¢, ROI +36%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—0%11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—0%35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00Albihime217255BreakTheBankndb1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $8Yes $1.0M
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $407KNo $335K