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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4whosay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4536–3318, n=7854)no settled market59% (1112–788, n=1900)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M—-$37K
Tracked as—PM monthly #19—was PM monthly #695
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (14 of 22 open)no open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136—Tennis −3 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—58% of 2066 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)—11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1743)—26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2080)—28% (won 57% of 578)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2114)—35% (won 88% of 718)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.