Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)99% (2727–38, n=2765)35% (3639–6643, n=10282)63% (993–577, n=1570)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$146K$3.0M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656PM monthly #122PM monthly #96PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (9 of 15 open)68% (50 of 73 open)44% (12 of 27 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won99% of 2635 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%—64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)—13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)—19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 59% of 41)—23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2583)—44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-JB-ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360