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7F
Consensus PnL $6.4K · win rate 87% (13–2, n=15) · was PM monthly #984 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x7f84b263...503db057Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp
Consensus PnL
$6.4K
Record
13W / 2L
Win Rate
87.0%
of 15 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#309
Source
PM monthly #984
Trades
7
Markets
19
Volume
$87.6K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers $4.9K · now 51¢ · in at 49¢against the consensus (Grizzlies)
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries $663 · now 45¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Atlanta Dream)
Specialties
15 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+50 pts
side won 100% of 14 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +46%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 60%(won 100% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 100% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.