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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?

Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

18

No 60%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$97.72

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 18 top traders (56%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No10 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,547
Combined PnL+$22.81
Yes8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares795
Combined PnL-$120.53
No — 56%Yes — 44%
PE
pelik
No

Invested

$802.22

Value

$803.06

PnL

+$0.84

Record

99%

4397-63 (4460)

PV
pvc975
No

Invested

$498.58

Value

$500

PnL

+$1.42

Record

98%

14242-313 (14555)

E4
e46m3
No

Invested

$98.33

Value

$108.66

PnL

+$10.33

Record

73%

13591-5101 (18692)

balthazar<$100
No

Invested

$79.26

Value

$89.39

PnL

+$10.13

Record

53%

28804-25713 (54517)

LP
lpgb<$100
No

Invested

$90.97

Value

$35.82

PnL

-$0.58

Record

26%

353-995 (1348)

CO
cowcatCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$7.25

Value

—

PnL

-$28.86

Record

53%

1631-1463 (3094)

0X
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$67.06

Value

—

PnL

-$38.49

Record

45%

2525-3059 (5584)

PE
peepeepooppoopCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$4.92

Value

—

PnL

-$4.91

Record

51%

2210-2124 (4334)

GA
GaditimaCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$5.2

Value

—

PnL

-$5.2

Record

48%

6965-7593 (14558)

QW
qwen300.fund<$100
No

Invested

$9.34

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.66

Record

60%

11576-7759 (19335)

XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

17800-33165 (50965)

ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

15706-12366 (28072)

0X
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$40.8

Value

—

PnL

-$32.94

Record

25%

1654-5034 (6688)

MI
mildwindow27<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

8156-9340 (17496)

SI
SitsToPee<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

382-268 (650)

SP
SPLPBCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$11.4

Value

—

PnL

-$10.64

Record

24%

708-2191 (2899)

DO
DooBieZCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$52.29

Value

—

PnL

+$0.51

Record

54%

1967-1643 (3610)

IN
influenz.eth<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

10311-14332 (24643)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x3940d851...a41ed5
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-20-house-seat

Traders in this Market

PE

pelik

No — $803.06

+$0.84
PV

pvc975

No — $500

+$1.42
E4

e46m3

No — $108.66

+$10.33

balthazar

No — $89.39

+$10.13
LP

lpgb

No — $35.82

-$0.58
CO

cowcat

CTR

Yes — $0

-$28.86
0X

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

CTR

Yes — $0

-$38.49
PE

peepeepooppoop

CTR

Yes — $0

-$4.91
GA

Gaditima

CTR

Yes — $0

-$5.2
QW

qwen300.fund

No — $10

+$0.66
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