Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
20
Under 67%
$3.5K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1CTR | Underavg 39.8¢ | $1.1K | $685.98 | -$443.4 | 53% 61400-53704 (115104) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 57.5¢ | $532.19 | $670.17 | +$291.55 | 48% 61256-66065 (127321) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 47.3¢ | $3.1K | $626.55 | $-2.4K | 51% 25823-24512 (50335) |
LI Lilybaeum | Overavg 68.8¢ | $505.29 | $604.93 | +$99.64 | 61% 14373-9301 (23674) |
 0xheavy888 | Overavg 78.2¢ | $450.17 | $575.38 | +$125.21 | 56% 7923-6330 (14253) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Over | $186.72 | $186.72 | +$0 | 34% 19258-36883 (56141) |
WA WagerWizard | Overavg 91.4¢ | $116.14 | $127.05 | +$10.91 | 84% 14868-2869 (17737) |
DA darkumbreon88<$100 | Overavg 76¢ | $3.56 | $4.68 | +$1.12 | 64% 1963-1092 (3055) |
MR MrBently | Overavg 48.9¢ | $2.0K | $0 | +$2.1K | 52% 599-543 (1142) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 13.1¢ | $9.59 | — | -$9.59 | 51% 37681-36912 (74593) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 22.3¢ | $8.43 | — | -$8.43 | 49% 14720-15397 (30117) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 36.1¢ | $73.43 | — | -$73.43 | 53% 1442-1288 (2730) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 33.1¢ | $334.29 | — | -$334.29 | 51% 1398-1364 (2762) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Underavg 22¢ | $24.6 | — | -$24.6 | 64% 9930-5532 (15462) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Underavg 33.6¢ | $80.21 | — | +$29.92 | 54% 9751-8144 (17895) |
 nigiri99CTR<$100 | Underavg 22.9¢ | $11.43 | — | -$11.43 | 46% 8596-10247 (18843) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 23.7¢ | $174.01 | — | -$174.01 | 51% 1393-1314 (2707) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 38.2¢ | $942.8 | — | -$942.8 | 50% 1340-1327 (2667) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 9¢ | $11.43 | — | -$11.43 | 47% 11750-13484 (25234) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Underavg 29.6¢ | $341.72 | — | -$36 | 58% 46729-33688 (80417) |
RN1CTRInvested
$1,129.38
Value
$685.98
PnL
-$443.4
Record
53%
61400-53704 (115104)
Invested
$532.19
Value
$670.17
PnL
+$291.55
Record
48%
61256-66065 (127321)
Invested
$3,055.47
Value
$626.55
PnL
$-2.4K
Record
51%
25823-24512 (50335)
Invested
$505.29
Value
$604.93
PnL
+$99.64
Record
61%
14373-9301 (23674)
0xheavy888Invested
$450.17
Value
$575.38
PnL
+$125.21
Record
56%
7923-6330 (14253)
Invested
$186.72
Value
$186.72
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
19258-36883 (56141)
Invested
$116.14
Value
$127.05
PnL
+$10.91
Record
84%
14868-2869 (17737)
Invested
$3.56
Value
$4.68
PnL
+$1.12
Record
64%
1963-1092 (3055)
Invested
$1,986.79
Value
$0
PnL
+$2.1K
Record
52%
599-543 (1142)
Invested
$9.59
Value
—
PnL
-$9.59
Record
51%
37681-36912 (74593)
Invested
$8.43
Value
—
PnL
-$8.43
Record
49%
14720-15397 (30117)
Invested
$73.43
Value
—
PnL
-$73.43
Record
53%
1442-1288 (2730)
Invested
$334.29
Value
—
PnL
-$334.29
Record
51%
1398-1364 (2762)
Invested
$24.6
Value
—
PnL
-$24.6
Record
64%
9930-5532 (15462)
Invested
$80.21
Value
—
PnL
+$29.92
Record
54%
9751-8144 (17895)
nigiri99CTR<$100Invested
$11.43
Value
—
PnL
-$11.43
Record
46%
8596-10247 (18843)
Invested
$174.01
Value
—
PnL
-$174.01
Record
51%
1393-1314 (2707)
Invested
$942.8
Value
—
PnL
-$942.8
Record
50%
1340-1327 (2667)
Invested
$11.43
Value
—
PnL
-$11.43
Record
47%
11750-13484 (25234)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$341.72
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
58%
46729-33688 (80417)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
CTRUnder — $685.98
38791873984189
Over — $670.17
Flaznorp
CTRUnder — $626.55
Lilybaeum
Over — $604.93
0xheavy888
Over — $575.38
xtxpleasecallme
Over — $186.72
WagerWizard
Over — $127.05
darkumbreon88
Over — $4.68
MrBently
Over — $0
SnakeBall
CTRUnder — $0