Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Halmstads BK vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
14
Under 31%
$8.8K
-$259.6
Smart Money Signal
4 of 14 top traders (29%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR ARocky33 | Overavg 26¢ | $722.54 | $2.8K | +$2.1K | 76% 4861-1510 (6371) |
KY Kyn008 | Overavg 56¢ | $1.3K | $2.3K | +$1.0K | 48% 313-335 (648) |
 RN1 | Overavg 70.9¢ | $1.6K | $1.1K | +$60.59 | 53% 70164-61737 (131901) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 42.1¢ | $434.56 | $1.0K | +$585.44 | 50% 32540-32687 (65227) |
 VeryLucky888 | Overavg 56¢ | $600 | $600 | +$264 | 59% 52299-37045 (89344) |
SL SlickRick123 | Overavg 25¢ | $490 | $490 | +$367.5 | 47% 6203-6908 (13111) |
DR Dreamwire | Overavg 99¢ | $322.15 | $322.15 | +$3.22 | 80% 4358-1077 (5435) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Underavg 44¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 50% 23433-23429 (46862) |
CI cigarettes | Overavg 25¢ | $25.45 | $100 | +$74.55 | 50% 65438-65762 (131200) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 90¢ | $57.87 | $57.87 | +$5.79 | 71% 18400-7571 (25971) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 44.2¢ | $24.81 | — | -$24.81 | 51% 46870-44196 (91066) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 74.4¢ | $4.4K | — | $-3.3K | 73% 3335-1228 (4563) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Underavg 10¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 48% 39763-42635 (82398) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 193-149 (342) |
Invested
$722.54
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$2.1K
Record
76%
4861-1510 (6371)
Invested
$1,278.47
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$1.0K
Record
48%
313-335 (648)
RN1Invested
$1,584.53
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$60.59
Record
53%
70164-61737 (131901)
Invested
$434.56
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$585.44
Record
50%
32540-32687 (65227)
VeryLucky888Invested
$600
Value
$600
PnL
+$264
Record
59%
52299-37045 (89344)
Invested
$490
Value
$490
PnL
+$367.5
Record
47%
6203-6908 (13111)
Invested
$322.15
Value
$322.15
PnL
+$3.22
Record
80%
4358-1077 (5435)
Invested
$1,401.9
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
50%
23433-23429 (46862)
Invested
$25.45
Value
$100
PnL
+$74.55
Record
50%
65438-65762 (131200)
Invested
$57.87
Value
$57.87
PnL
+$5.79
Record
71%
18400-7571 (25971)
Invested
$24.81
Value
—
PnL
-$24.81
Record
51%
46870-44196 (91066)
Invested
$4,380.94
Value
—
PnL
$-3.3K
Record
73%
3335-1228 (4563)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
48%
39763-42635 (82398)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
193-149 (342)