Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

AIK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
13
Under 33%
$11.0K
$-8.7K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 39Β’ | $6.2K | $6.2K | +$66 | 51% 47136-44473 (91609) |
![]() RN1 | Overavg 29.5Β’ | $3.5K | $3.1K | +$685.08 | 53% 70182-61748 (131930) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 16.1Β’ | $198.4 | $1.2K | +$1.0K | 50% 32547-32694 (65241) |
WA WagerWizard | Overavg 79.8Β’ | $117.13 | $146.76 | +$29.63 | 71% 18402-7575 (25977) |
RO Rocky31 | Overavg 87Β’ | $101.61 | $116.79 | +$15.18 | 75% 2050-694 (2744) |
AR ARocky33 | Overavg 12Β’ | $100 | $100 | +$88 | 76% 4878-1514 (6392) |
![]() alpheclabs2<$100 | Overavg 13Β’ | $8.58 | $66 | +$57.42 | 47% 1624-1831 (3455) |
FA fakekyCTR | Underavg 76.3Β’ | $9.5K | β | $-9.5K | 72% 51-20 (71) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 76Β’ | $4.56 | $6 | +$1.44 | 77% 4137-1217 (5354) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 73Β’ | $711.5 | β | -$711.5 | 73% 3335-1240 (4575) |
SL SlickRick123CTR | Underavg 76.5Β’ | $507.33 | β | -$507.33 | 47% 6221-6932 (13153) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 75Β’ | $3.75 | β | -$3.75 | 50% 27934-27381 (55315) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Underavg 50Β’ | $77 | β | +$0 | 56% 195-151 (346) |
Invested
$6,219.14
Value
$6.2K
PnL
+$66
Record
51%
47136-44473 (91609)
RN1Invested
$3,545.62
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$685.08
Record
53%
70182-61748 (131930)
Invested
$198.4
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$1.0K
Record
50%
32547-32694 (65241)
Invested
$117.13
Value
$146.76
PnL
+$29.63
Record
71%
18402-7575 (25977)
Invested
$101.61
Value
$116.79
PnL
+$15.18
Record
75%
2050-694 (2744)
Invested
$100
Value
$100
PnL
+$88
Record
76%
4878-1514 (6392)
alpheclabs2<$100Invested
$8.58
Value
$66
PnL
+$57.42
Record
47%
1624-1831 (3455)
Invested
$9,453
Value
β
PnL
$-9.5K
Record
72%
51-20 (71)
Invested
$4.56
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.44
Record
77%
4137-1217 (5354)
Invested
$711.5
Value
β
PnL
-$711.5
Record
73%
3335-1240 (4575)
Invested
$507.33
Value
β
PnL
-$507.33
Record
47%
6221-6932 (13153)
Invested
$3.75
Value
β
PnL
-$3.75
Record
50%
27934-27381 (55315)
Invested
$77
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
195-151 (346)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Over β $6.2K

RN1
Over β $3.1K
GoalLineGhost
Over β $1.2K
WagerWizard
Over β $146.76
Rocky31
Over β $116.79
ARocky33
Over β $100

alpheclabs2
Over β $66
fakeky
CTRUnder β $0
Vampiro1
Over β $6
dashattacker
CTRUnder β $0