Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
FK Partizan Belgrade vs. FK Macva Sabac: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Over 38%
$2.1K
-$498.85
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Underavg 42.3¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$760.06 | 53% 70182-61748 (131930) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 38.6¢ | $1.1K | — | -$622.78 | 50% 32547-32694 (65241) |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 44.4¢ | $406.23 | $406.23 | +$1.43 | 51% 47136-44473 (91609) |
DA dashattacker | Underavg 67¢ | $168.39 | $251.52 | +$83.13 | 73% 3335-1240 (4575) |
 alpheclabs2 | Underavg 10¢ | $11.2 | $111.99 | +$100.79 | 47% 1624-1831 (3455) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 10¢ | $1.1 | $11 | +$9.9 | 48% 39771-42686 (82457) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Overavg 57¢ | $1.3K | — | -$724.82 | 50% 23449-23463 (46912) |
WA WagerWizardCTR | Overavg 75.8¢ | $106.56 | — | -$106.56 | 71% 18402-7575 (25977) |
RN1Invested
$1,318.21
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$760.06
Record
53%
70182-61748 (131930)
Invested
$1,144.81
Value
—
PnL
-$622.78
Record
50%
32547-32694 (65241)
Invested
$406.23
Value
$406.23
PnL
+$1.43
Record
51%
47136-44473 (91609)
Invested
$168.39
Value
$251.52
PnL
+$83.13
Record
73%
3335-1240 (4575)
alpheclabs2Invested
$11.2
Value
$111.99
PnL
+$100.79
Record
47%
1624-1831 (3455)
Invested
$1.1
Value
$11
PnL
+$9.9
Record
48%
39771-42686 (82457)
Invested
$1,271.61
Value
—
PnL
-$724.82
Record
50%
23449-23463 (46912)
Invested
$106.56
Value
—
PnL
-$106.56
Record
71%
18402-7575 (25977)