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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Over 50%

Total Value

$23.5K

Combined PnL

$-13.9K

Smart Money Signal

Over

7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26,055
Combined PnL$-19.7K
Under7 traders
Total Value$23.5K
Total Shares23,481
Combined PnL+$5.8K
Over — 50%Under — 50%
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR
Over

Invested

$18,925.05

Value

—

PnL

$-18.9K

Record

54%

18314-15419 (33733)

JO
JoeyAroyyOO
Under

Invested

$7,702.84

Value

$15.3K

PnL

+$2.3K

Record

50%

95-96 (191)

AP
AppleTiiime
Under

Invested

$1,711.96

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$1.8K

Record

55%

70-58 (128)

HI
hi774c
Under

Invested

$1,254.46

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

46%

5268-6113 (11381)

NM
NM-P
Under

Invested

$1,138.84

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$52.7

Record

64%

10122-5677 (15799)

GC
GC-PCTR
Over

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

64%

10147-5745 (15892)

VeryLucky888
Under

Invested

$374.86

Value

$499.99

PnL

+$127.53

Record

58%

47297-34106 (81403)

FL
Flaznorp
Under

Invested

$170.36

Value

$343.15

PnL

+$172.79

Record

51%

26809-25398 (52207)

0X
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR
Over

Invested

$174

Value

—

PnL

-$174

Record

51%

2012-1944 (3956)

0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR
Over

Invested

$220.01

Value

—

PnL

-$51.81

Record

50%

4491-4414 (8905)

AM
ameisgoat11<$100
Under

Invested

$5.3

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.25

Record

52%

8885-8068 (16953)

0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100
Over

Invested

$26.28

Value

—

PnL

-$26.28

Record

56%

8434-6558 (14992)

0xheavy888CTR<$100
Over

Invested

$10

Value

—

PnL

-$10

Record

56%

8147-6448 (14595)

TA
takeormakeCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$8.24

Value

—

PnL

-$8.24

Record

52%

4963-4513 (9476)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe1bffa98...b294a4
Slug
nba-phi-cle-2026-11-06-total-231pt5

Traders in this Market

HO

HomeRunHazard

CTR

Over — $0

$-18.9K
JO

JoeyAroyyOO

Under — $15.3K

+$2.3K
AP

AppleTiiime

Under — $3.6K

+$1.8K
HI

hi774c

Under — $2.6K

+$1.3K
NM

NM-P

Under — $1.2K

+$52.7
GC

GC-P

CTR

Over — $0

-$500

VeryLucky888

Under — $499.99

+$127.53
FL

Flaznorp

Under — $343.15

+$172.79
0X

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

CTR

Over — $0

-$174
0X

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

CTR

Over — $0

-$51.81
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