Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Heat — but Lakers won instead.
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
Resolved Lakers. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Heat. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Heat 41%
$8.7K
$-11.1K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 17 top traders (41%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Lakersavg 93¢ | $4.4K | $3.1K | $-1.4K | 51% 23065-21883 (44948) |
65 6512395314597884 | Lakersavg 78.1¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$356.07 | 51% 4404-4284 (8688) |
TA takeormake | Lakersavg 77.6¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$293.94 | 53% 4558-4042 (8600) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Lakersavg 37.9¢ | $436.63 | $1.2K | +$716 | 50% 4150-4104 (8254) |
TO torta.tech | Lakersavg 37¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$648.27 | 62% 8370-5167 (13537) |
38 38791873984189 | Lakersavg 66.4¢ | $356.13 | $383.98 | +$40.04 | 47% 14094-15610 (29704) |
KK kkookkooCTR | Heatavg 53.6¢ | $20.1K | — | $-10.8K | 51% 619-601 (1220) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Heatavg 17¢ | $966.81 | — | -$966.81 | 52% 3903-3554 (7457) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Lakersavg 50¢ | $27.32 | $53 | +$25.68 | 53% 11467-10034 (21501) |
0X 0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176<$100 | Lakersavg 37¢ | $51.45 | $51.45 | +$32.41 | 53% 6219-5506 (11725) |
 hammyandcheese<$100 | Lakersavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 55% 410-334 (744) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Lakersavg 95¢ | $4.56 | $4.8 | +$0.24 | 35% 17316-32015 (49331) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Heatavg 14.1¢ | $21.34 | — | -$21.34 | 51% 7139-6898 (14037) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Heatavg 16¢ | $25.35 | — | -$4.05 | 48% 5999-6422 (12421) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Heatavg 46¢ | $21.65 | — | -$9.96 | 55% 3246-2649 (5895) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Heatavg 54¢ | $13 | — | -$7.02 | 54% 766-651 (1417) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Heatavg 63¢ | $2.88 | — | -$2.88 | 50% 35350-34790 (70140) |
Invested
$4,447.25
Value
$3.1K
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
51%
23065-21883 (44948)
Invested
$1,623.79
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$356.07
Record
51%
4404-4284 (8688)
Invested
$1,401.58
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$293.94
Record
53%
4558-4042 (8600)
Invested
$436.63
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$716
Record
50%
4150-4104 (8254)
Invested
$1,029
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$648.27
Record
62%
8370-5167 (13537)
Invested
$356.13
Value
$383.98
PnL
+$40.04
Record
47%
14094-15610 (29704)
Invested
$20,102.99
Value
—
PnL
$-10.8K
Record
51%
619-601 (1220)
Invested
$966.81
Value
—
PnL
-$966.81
Record
52%
3903-3554 (7457)
Invested
$27.32
Value
$53
PnL
+$25.68
Record
53%
11467-10034 (21501)
Invested
$51.45
Value
$51.45
PnL
+$32.41
Record
53%
6219-5506 (11725)
hammyandcheese<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
55%
410-334 (744)
Invested
$4.56
Value
$4.8
PnL
+$0.24
Record
35%
17316-32015 (49331)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$21.34
Value
—
PnL
-$21.34
Record
51%
7139-6898 (14037)
Invested
$25.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
48%
5999-6422 (12421)
Invested
$21.65
Value
—
PnL
-$9.96
Record
55%
3246-2649 (5895)
Invested
$13
Value
—
PnL
-$7.02
Record
54%
766-651 (1417)
Invested
$2.88
Value
—
PnL
-$2.88
Record
50%
35350-34790 (70140)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Lakers — $3.1K
6512395314597884
Lakers — $1.6K
takeormake
Lakers — $1.4K
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
Lakers — $1.2K
torta.tech
Lakers — $1.0K
38791873984189
Lakers — $383.98
kkookkoo
CTRHeat — $0
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRHeat — $0
justaluckydude
Lakers — $53
0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176
Lakers — $51.45