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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5

Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Under 67%

Total Value

$821.75

Combined PnL

-$633.98

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders
Total Value$821.75
Total Shares822
Combined PnL+$329.06
Under8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,878
Combined PnL-$963.04
Over — 33%Under — 67%
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Over

Invested

$791.89

Value

$698.75

PnL

+$283.44

Record

55%

1350-1126 (2476)

FL
FlaznorpCTR
Under

Invested

$544.16

Value

—

PnL

-$544.16

Record

50%

3544-3611 (7155)

RN1CTR
Under

Invested

$356.93

Value

—

PnL

-$356.93

Record

56%

5073-4021 (9094)

NA
NatoAlfista<$100
Over

Invested

$44.55

Value

$81

PnL

+$36.45

Record

41%

146-213 (359)

TO
topdogbigboi<$100
Over

Invested

$24.37

Value

$32

PnL

+$7.63

Record

37%

841-1416 (2257)

PA
Pan9XCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$19.23

Value

—

PnL

-$19.23

Record

49%

1349-1396 (2745)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
Over

Invested

$8.45

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.55

Record

49%

1883-1987 (3870)

38
38791873984189CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$18.06

Value

—

PnL

-$4.06

Record

48%

2942-3249 (6191)

GH
ghorrockCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$8.86

Value

—

PnL

-$8.86

Record

53%

1572-1421 (2993)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$19.04

Value

—

PnL

-$19.04

Record

46%

2359-2814 (5173)

SE
sentrioCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$10.51

Value

—

PnL

-$10.51

Record

43%

920-1244 (2164)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$5.25

Value

—

PnL

-$0.25

Record

59%

3410-2403 (5813)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x82f45ba0...a3ab7c
Slug
nba-mem-nop-2026-11-13-total-241pt5

Traders in this Market

0X

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $698.75

+$283.44
FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Under — $0

-$544.16

RN1

CTR

Under — $0

-$356.93
NA

NatoAlfista

Over — $81

+$36.45
TO

topdogbigboi

Over — $32

+$7.63
PA

Pan9X

CTR

Under — $0

-$19.23
FE

ferdinand2

Over — $10

+$1.55
38

38791873984189

CTR

Under — $0

-$4.06
GH

ghorrock

CTR

Under — $0

-$8.86
SU

suntori

CTR

Under — $0

-$19.04
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