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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 220.5

Resolved Under. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Over 46%

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$-5.0K

Smart Money Signal

Over

6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares19,075

Combined PnL$-5.4K

Under7 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares1,068

Combined PnL+$407.66

Over — 46%Under — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Overavg 55.5¢	$3.5K	—	$-1.4K	51% 25463-24164 (49627)
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CTR	Overavg 22¢	$16.6K	—	$-3.6K	55% 6236-5124 (11360)
TO topdogbigboi	Underavg 50.3¢	$487.3	$524.57	+$193.75	47% 11568-12989 (24557)
DI dips.	Underavg 98.1¢	$166.77	$170	+$3.23	47% 10541-12058 (22599)
JU justaluckydudeCTR	Overavg 45.9¢	$191.08	—	-$191.08	53% 12084-10599 (22683)
PA Pan9X	Underavg 36.2¢	$143.45	$113.29	+$106.84	50% 4375-4378 (8753)
GA Gaditima<$100	Underavg 55.4¢	$91.95	$91.95	+$41.02	48% 7251-7943 (15194)
SL SlickRick123<$100	Underavg 36¢	$30.46	$84.61	+$54.15	48% 5389-5891 (11280)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Underavg 90.5¢	$50.23	$50	+$3.67	60% 2581-1695 (4276)
38 38791873984189CTR	Overavg 30.7¢	$1.1K	—	-$49.89	48% 60543-65164 (125707)
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375<$100	Underavg 85¢	$33.33	$33.33	+$5	50% 4392-4322 (8714)
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100	Overavg 14.6¢	$10.9	—	-$10.9	43% 2415-3261 (5676)
TA takeormakeCTR	Overavg 71¢	$122	—	-$86.62	53% 4842-4378 (9220)

Invested

$3,478.09

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

51%

25463-24164 (49627)

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CTR

Invested

$16,590.45

Value

—

PnL

$-3.6K

Record

55%

6236-5124 (11360)

Invested

$487.3

Value

$524.57

PnL

+$193.75

Record

47%

11568-12989 (24557)

Invested

$166.77

Value

$170

PnL

+$3.23

Record

47%

10541-12058 (22599)

justaluckydudeCTR

Invested

$191.08

Value

—

PnL

-$191.08

Record

53%

12084-10599 (22683)

Invested

$143.45

Value

$113.29

PnL

+$106.84

Record

50%

4375-4378 (8753)

Invested

$91.95

Value

$91.95

PnL

+$41.02

Record

48%

7251-7943 (15194)

SlickRick123<$100

Invested

$30.46

Value

$84.61

PnL

+$54.15

Record

48%

5389-5891 (11280)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$50.23

Value

$50

PnL

+$3.67

Record

60%

2581-1695 (4276)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$1,080.83

Value

—

PnL

-$49.89

Record

48%

60543-65164 (125707)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375<$100

Invested

$33.33

Value

$33.33

PnL

+$5

Record

50%

4392-4322 (8714)

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100

Invested

$10.9

Value

—

PnL

-$10.9

Record

43%

2415-3261 (5676)

Invested

$122

Value

—

PnL

-$86.62

Record

53%

4842-4378 (9220)

Smart Money Signal

Over

6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2aa4b64f...ddf787

Slug

nba-lal-sac-2026-11-04-total-220pt5

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

Over — $0

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

Over — $0

topdogbigboi

Under — $524.57

dips.

Under — $170

justaluckydude

Over — $0

Pan9X

Under — $113.29

Gaditima

Under — $91.95

SlickRick123

Under — $84.61

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Under — $50

38791873984189

Over — $0

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