Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5

Resolved Over. 35% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 38%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.9K

Combined PnL

-$188.34

Smart Money Signal

Over

6 of 17 top traders (35%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over6 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares2,115

Combined PnL+$801.21

Under11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,177

Combined PnL-$989.55

Over — 35%Under — 65%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375	Overavg 74.9¢	$1.1K	$1.5K	+$374.37	53% 305-275 (580)
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Overavg 66.4¢	$595.14	$533.02	-$62.12	51% 2141-2070 (4211)
└ Under leg	Underavg 33.6¢	$241.29	—	-$241.29
└ Over leg	Overavg 66.4¢	$353.85	$533.02	+$179.17
RN1ARB<$100	Overavg 58.9¢	$474.47	$601.45	+$126.98	57% 4155-3181 (7336)
└ Over leg	Overavg 58.9¢	$354.11	$601.45	+$247.34
└ Under leg	Underavg 23.5¢	$120.36	—	-$120.36
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100	Overavg 50.5¢	$350.91	$418.45	+$67.54	50% 3334-3292 (6626)
└ Under leg	Underavg 34.9¢	$139.5	—	-$139.5
└ Over leg	Overavg 50.5¢	$211.41	$418.45	+$207.04
MA MadridTimeCTR	Underavg 49.6¢	$257.6	—	-$257.6	32% 444-952 (1396)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR	Underavg 43.8¢	$200	—	-$200	48% 74-80 (154)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR	Underavg 50.3¢	$207.1	—	-$207.1	31% 242-544 (786)
TA takeormake	Overavg 64¢	$237.44	$371	+$133.56	58% 3230-2327 (5557)
VE VenusianCTR	Underavg 50¢	$132.78	—	-$132.78	31% 444-971 (1415)
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100	Overavg 50¢	$116	$200	+$84	36% 410-719 (1129)
└ Over leg	Overavg 50¢	$100	$200	+$100
└ Under leg	Underavg 24¢	$16	—	-$16
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Underavg 33.7¢	$60.36	—	-$60.36	60% 2757-1855 (4612)
SU suitcase6628CTR<$100	Underavg 34.3¢	$58.3	—	-$58.3	63% 291-169 (460)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Overavg 63.6¢	$1.2K	$135.56	+$210.59	55% 843-701 (1544)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Underavg 49¢	$40.65	—	-$40.65	31% 438-969 (1407)
38 38791873984189<$100	Overavg 49¢	$66.82	$81.17	+$49.34	47% 1681-1866 (3547)
dips.CTR<$100	Underavg 33.3¢	$23.64	—	-$23.64	45% 436-533 (969)
PA Pan9X<$100	Overavg 49.7¢	$34.22	$18.99	+$26.76	49% 786-829 (1615)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Overavg 64.2¢	$11.81	$18.4	+$6.59	49% 973-998 (1971)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Underavg 26.1¢	$5.87	—	-$4.47	55% 729-596 (1325)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Underavg 50¢	$3.4	—	-$3.4	31% 441-967 (1408)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Underavg 33¢	$8.25	—	-$1.25	42% 282-393 (675)