Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 212.5
Resolved Over. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Over 43%
2 arb excluded
$3.2K
$215.7
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 72.2¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$10.03 | 51% 2141-2070 (4211) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 72.2¢ | $1.0K | $1.4K | +$400.89 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 28.6¢ | $410.92 | — | -$410.92 | |
65 6512395314597884 | Overavg 68.3¢ | $478.53 | $701.02 | +$222.49 | 50% 3334-3292 (6626) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Overavg 69.3¢ | $1.7K | $679.64 | +$236.08 | 55% 843-701 (1544) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Underavg 35¢ | $394.14 | $240.66 | -$153.48 | 57% 4155-3181 (7336) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 35¢ | $209.65 | — | -$209.65 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 76.7¢ | $184.49 | $240.66 | +$56.17 | |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Underavg 18¢ | $78.34 | — | -$78.34 | 46% 200-233 (433) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 37¢ | $144.62 | — | -$144.62 | 32% 444-952 (1396) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Overavg 87¢ | $66.99 | $77 | +$10.01 | 42% 282-393 (675) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Underavg 24.7¢ | $27.56 | — | -$27.56 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Overavg 63¢ | $20.75 | $32 | +$11.25 | 49% 786-829 (1615) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 37¢ | $9.46 | — | -$9.46 | 31% 441-967 (1408) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 82¢ | $21.43 | $6.3 | +$0.07 | 49% 973-998 (1971) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Overavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 60% 2757-1855 (4612) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 10¢ | $0.74 | — | -$0.74 | 36% 410-719 (1129) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 40¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 31% 242-544 (786) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 37¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.85 | 31% 444-971 (1415) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 31¢ | $2.56 | — | -$0.32 | 55% 729-596 (1325) |
Invested
$1,453.47
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$10.03
Record
51%
2141-2070 (4211)
Both legs:
Invested
$478.53
Value
$701.02
PnL
+$222.49
Record
50%
3334-3292 (6626)
Invested
$1,681.06
Value
$679.64
PnL
+$236.08
Record
55%
843-701 (1544)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$394.14
Value
$240.66
PnL
-$153.48
Record
57%
4155-3181 (7336)
Both legs:
Invested
$78.34
Value
—
PnL
-$78.34
Record
46%
200-233 (433)
Invested
$144.62
Value
—
PnL
-$144.62
Record
32%
444-952 (1396)
Invested
$66.99
Value
$77
PnL
+$10.01
Record
42%
282-393 (675)
Invested
$27.56
Value
—
PnL
-$27.56
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
Invested
$20.75
Value
$32
PnL
+$11.25
Record
49%
786-829 (1615)
Invested
$9.46
Value
—
PnL
-$9.46
Record
31%
441-967 (1408)
Invested
$21.43
Value
$6.3
PnL
+$0.07
Record
49%
973-998 (1971)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
60%
2757-1855 (4612)
Invested
$0.74
Value
—
PnL
-$0.74
Record
36%
410-719 (1129)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
31%
242-544 (786)
Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
31%
444-971 (1415)
Invested
$2.56
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
55%
729-596 (1325)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
6512395314597884
Over — $701.02
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Over — $679.64
RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Anon455
CTRUnder — $0
MadridTime
CTRUnder — $0
smithagent
Over — $77
38791873984189
CTRUnder — $0
Pan9X
Over — $32
LightParadox
CTRUnder — $0