Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 250.5
Resolved Under. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Under 78%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
$499.16
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 6512395314597884 | Underavg 69.4¢ | $834.54 | $1.2K | +$368.14 | 50% 3334-3292 (6626) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 29.2¢ | $617.69 | $172.9 | -$444.79 | 51% 2141-2070 (4211) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 29.2¢ | $472.45 | — | -$472.45 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 84¢ | $145.24 | $172.9 | +$27.66 | |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Underavg 69¢ | $764.22 | $537.1 | +$235.78 | 55% 843-701 (1544) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Overavg 35.2¢ | $166.3 | — | -$166.3 | 32% 444-952 (1396) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Underavg 79¢ | $65.57 | $83 | +$17.43 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Underavg 84¢ | $42.84 | $51 | +$8.16 | 60% 2757-1855 (4612) |
 dips.<$100 | Underavg 84¢ | $42 | $50 | +$8 | 45% 436-533 (969) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 62¢ | $29.32 | $47.29 | +$17.97 | 36% 410-719 (1129) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Underavg 64¢ | $20.48 | $32 | +$11.52 | 49% 786-829 (1615) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 29¢ | $10.04 | — | -$1.54 | 49% 973-998 (1971) |
Invested
$834.54
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$368.14
Record
50%
3334-3292 (6626)
Invested
$617.69
Value
$172.9
PnL
-$444.79
Record
51%
2141-2070 (4211)
Both legs:
Invested
$764.22
Value
$537.1
PnL
+$235.78
Record
55%
843-701 (1544)
Invested
$166.3
Value
—
PnL
-$166.3
Record
32%
444-952 (1396)
Invested
$65.57
Value
$83
PnL
+$17.43
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
Invested
$42.84
Value
$51
PnL
+$8.16
Record
60%
2757-1855 (4612)
dips.<$100Invested
$42
Value
$50
PnL
+$8
Record
45%
436-533 (969)
Invested
$29.32
Value
$47.29
PnL
+$17.97
Record
36%
410-719 (1129)
Invested
$20.48
Value
$32
PnL
+$11.52
Record
49%
786-829 (1615)
Invested
$10.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
49%
973-998 (1971)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
6512395314597884
Under — $1.2K
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Under — $537.1
MadridTime
CTROver — $0
38791873984189
Under — $83
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Under — $51
dips.
Under — $50
topdogbigboi
Under — $47.29
Pan9X
Under — $32
ferdinand2
CTROver — $0