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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Nuggets — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Nuggets

Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)

Resolved Nuggets. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Nuggets. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Nuggets 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.5K

Combined PnL

$28.95

Smart Money Signal

Nuggets

9 of 13 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Grizzlies0%
Nuggets100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Nuggets9 traders
Total Value$4.5K
Total Shares4,513
Combined PnL+$398.19
Grizzlies4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,453
Combined PnL-$369.23
Nuggets — 69%Grizzlies — 31%
FL
Flaznorp
Nuggets

Invested

$1,810.5

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$116.95

Record

51%

2141-2070 (4211)

0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Nuggets

Invested

$2,533.42

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$178.58

Record

55%

843-701 (1544)

RN1
Nuggets

Invested

$891.62

Value

$947

PnL

+$55.38

Record

57%

4155-3181 (7336)

65
6512395314597884
Nuggets

Invested

$180.52

Value

$200

PnL

+$19.48

Record

50%

3334-3292 (6626)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Nuggets

Invested

$84

Value

$100

PnL

+$16

Record

60%

2757-1855 (4612)

TA
takeormakeARB<$100
Grizzlies

Invested

$97.62

Value

$31

PnL

-$66.62

Record

58%

3230-2327 (5557)

Both legs:

Nuggets$28.5292¢+$2.48
Grizzlies$69.114.9¢-$69.1
0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR
Grizzlies

Invested

$211.52

Value

—

PnL

-$211.52

Record

53%

305-275 (580)

MA
MadridTimeCTR
Grizzlies

Invested

$120.9

Value

—

PnL

-$120.9

Record

32%

444-952 (1396)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
Nuggets

Invested

$14.63

Value

$17.2

PnL

+$2.58

Record

49%

973-998 (1971)

PA
Pan9X<$100
Nuggets

Invested

$39.86

Value

$10.25

PnL

+$3.39

Record

49%

786-829 (1615)

SE
sentrio<$100
Nuggets

Invested

$7.26

Value

$10.68

PnL

+$3.42

Record

40%

438-657 (1095)

38
38791873984189CTR
Grizzlies

Invested

$189.42

Value

—

PnL

-$22.42

Record

47%

1681-1866 (3547)

nigiri99CTR<$100
Grizzlies

Invested

$14.4

Value

—

PnL

-$14.4

Record

52%

235-217 (452)

SU
suitcase6628
Nuggets

Invested

$117.6

Value

—

PnL

+$2.4

Record

63%

291-169 (460)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xd796c7af...253a63
Slug
nba-den-mem-2026-11-11-spread-home-3pt5

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

Nuggets — $1.9K

+$116.95
0X

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Nuggets — $1.3K

+$178.58

RN1

Nuggets — $947

+$55.38
65

6512395314597884

Nuggets — $200

+$19.48
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Nuggets — $100

+$16
TA

takeormake

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$66.62
0X

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

CTR

Grizzlies — $0

-$211.52
MA

MadridTime

CTR

Grizzlies — $0

-$120.9
FE

ferdinand2

Nuggets — $17.2

+$2.58
PA

Pan9X

Nuggets — $10.25

+$3.39
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