Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5
Resolved Under. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Under 71%
1 arb excluded
$5.0K
$937.94
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Underavg 67.9¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | -$3.09 | 53% 218-191 (409) |
65 6512395314597884 | Underavg 50.2¢ | $524.53 | $987.42 | +$473.33 | 42% 132-179 (311) |
 RN1 | Underavg 42.5¢ | $444.62 | $1.0K | +$578.54 | 51% 289-274 (563) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 71¢ | $701.9 | $565.06 | -$183.27 | 51% 507-483 (990) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 71¢ | $400.98 | $565.06 | +$206.46 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 55.5¢ | $343.3 | — | -$389.72 | |
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 41.2¢ | $227.72 | $314.15 | +$249.85 | 48% 436-463 (899) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Underavg 60¢ | $174.81 | $291.35 | +$116.54 | 57% 104-80 (184) |
LI LimousinCTR | Overavg 44¢ | $201.63 | — | -$240.58 | 26% 127-364 (491) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Underavg 46.5¢ | $45.17 | $37.33 | +$31.75 | 49% 194-203 (397) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 44.6¢ | $29.92 | $39.04 | +$20.35 | 56% 139-108 (247) |
 balthazar<$100 | Underavg 64¢ | $12.8 | $20 | +$7.2 | 60% 1203-815 (2018) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $9.5 | $22.36 | +$12.86 | 28% 122-309 (431) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR | Overavg 26¢ | $262.85 | — | -$262.85 | 26% 55-158 (213) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Underavg 38¢ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 28% 100-254 (354) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Overavg 40.4¢ | $47.39 | — | -$47.39 | 34% 111-220 (331) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Overavg 13¢ | $1.43 | — | -$1.43 | 59% 1209-854 (2063) |
Invested
$1,697.3
Value
$1.7K
PnL
-$3.09
Record
53%
218-191 (409)
Invested
$524.53
Value
$987.42
PnL
+$473.33
Record
42%
132-179 (311)
RN1Invested
$444.62
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$578.54
Record
51%
289-274 (563)
Invested
$701.9
Value
$565.06
PnL
-$183.27
Record
51%
507-483 (990)
Both legs:
Invested
$227.72
Value
$314.15
PnL
+$249.85
Record
48%
436-463 (899)
Invested
$174.81
Value
$291.35
PnL
+$116.54
Record
57%
104-80 (184)
Invested
$201.63
Value
—
PnL
-$240.58
Record
26%
127-364 (491)
Invested
$45.17
Value
$37.33
PnL
+$31.75
Record
49%
194-203 (397)
Invested
$29.92
Value
$39.04
PnL
+$20.35
Record
56%
139-108 (247)
balthazar<$100Invested
$12.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.2
Record
60%
1203-815 (2018)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$22.36
PnL
+$12.86
Record
28%
122-309 (431)
Invested
$262.85
Value
—
PnL
-$262.85
Record
26%
55-158 (213)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
28%
100-254 (354)
Invested
$47.39
Value
—
PnL
-$47.39
Record
34%
111-220 (331)
Invested
$1.43
Value
—
PnL
-$1.43
Record
59%
1209-854 (2063)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Under — $1.7K
6512395314597884
Under — $987.42
RN1
Under — $1.0K
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
38791873984189
Under — $314.15
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
Under — $291.35
Limousin
CTROver — $0
Pan9X
Under — $37.33
ghorrock
Under — $39.04
balthazar
Under — $20