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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 247.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Under 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$956.47

Combined PnL

-$120.65

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares787
Combined PnL-$232.9
Under4 traders
Total Value$420.79
Total Shares421
Combined PnL+$112.25
Over — 50%Under — 50%
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100
Under

Invested

$1,382.77

Value

$535.68

PnL

-$176.16

Record

53%

330-294 (624)

Both legs:

Over$283.5233.5¢-$283.55
Under$428.2780¢+$107.39
0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR
Over

Invested

$157.39

Value

—

PnL

-$145.89

Record

57%

104-80 (184)

0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Under

Invested

$778.81

Value

$186.59

PnL

+$69.56

Record

53%

214-189 (403)

38
38791873984189
Under

Invested

$157.1

Value

$154.99

PnL

+$35.71

Record

49%

427-449 (876)

JU
justaluckydudeCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$96.16

Value

—

PnL

-$47.31

Record

26%

55-158 (213)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100
Under

Invested

$74.55

Value

$68

PnL

+$1.61

Record

59%

1201-850 (2051)

TA
takeormakeCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$76

Value

—

PnL

-$25.84

Record

22%

84-295 (379)

RN1CTR<$100
Over

Invested

$63.86

Value

—

PnL

-$13.86

Record

52%

287-270 (557)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100
Under

Invested

$11.21

Value

$11.21

PnL

+$5.37

Record

28%

121-308 (429)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x0e77fb36...271c64
Slug
nba-cle-cha-2026-11-09-total-247pt5

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$176.16
0X

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

CTR

Over — $0

-$145.89
0X

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Under — $186.59

+$69.56
38

38791873984189

Under — $154.99

+$35.71
JU

justaluckydude

CTR

Over — $0

-$47.31
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Under — $68

+$1.61
TA

takeormake

CTR

Over — $0

-$25.84

RN1

CTR

Over — $0

-$13.86
KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Under — $11.21

+$5.37
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