Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 243.5
Resolved Under. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Under 56%
2 arb excluded
$7.2K
$272.85
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 53.1¢ | $4.7K | $2.6K | +$179.74 | 53% 330-294 (624) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Underavg 49.5¢ | $3.1K | $2.3K | +$1.2K | 53% 214-189 (403) |
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100 | Underavg 36.4¢ | $592.68 | $1.1K | +$510.72 | 43% 131-176 (307) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 36.4¢ | $401.68 | $1.1K | +$701.72 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 49.9¢ | $191 | — | -$191 | |
AN Anon455 | Underavg 60.1¢ | $444.16 | $337.57 | +$92.99 | 48% 86-95 (181) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Underavg 68.3¢ | $300.1 | $292.32 | +$84.94 | 57% 104-80 (184) |
 RN1 | Underavg 88¢ | $244.75 | $225 | -$27.44 | 52% 287-270 (557) |
TA takeormakeCTR | Overavg 50.4¢ | $2.3K | — | $-1.2K | 22% 84-295 (379) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $118.65 | $117 | +$82.59 | 59% 1201-850 (2051) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 28¢ | $32.76 | $117 | +$84.24 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 1¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | |
LI LimousinCTR | Overavg 40¢ | $317.24 | — | -$134.36 | 26% 127-363 (490) |
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 30.5¢ | $65.46 | $100.96 | +$133.84 | 49% 427-449 (876) |
SU suitcase6628<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $8.4 | $30 | +$21.6 | 61% 78-49 (127) |
 dips.<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $29 | $29 | +$20.88 | 45% 125-154 (279) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 25¢ | $12.5 | — | -$12.5 | 46% 175-208 (383) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Overavg 46¢ | $17.04 | — | -$17.04 | 55% 77-63 (140) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 33.4¢ | $15.71 | $15.71 | +$10.47 | 57% 139-106 (245) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 48¢ | $14.42 | — | -$9.42 | 49% 193-198 (391) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Overavg 41¢ | $163.85 | — | -$67.18 | 28% 130-331 (461) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 41¢ | $36 | — | -$14.76 | 27% 128-350 (478) |
Invested
$4,657.88
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$179.74
Record
53%
330-294 (624)
Invested
$3,070.5
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
53%
214-189 (403)
Invested
$592.68
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$510.72
Record
43%
131-176 (307)
Both legs:
Invested
$444.16
Value
$337.57
PnL
+$92.99
Record
48%
86-95 (181)
Invested
$300.1
Value
$292.32
PnL
+$84.94
Record
57%
104-80 (184)
RN1Invested
$244.75
Value
$225
PnL
-$27.44
Record
52%
287-270 (557)
Invested
$2,290.56
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
22%
84-295 (379)
Invested
$118.65
Value
$117
PnL
+$82.59
Record
59%
1201-850 (2051)
Both legs:
Invested
$317.24
Value
—
PnL
-$134.36
Record
26%
127-363 (490)
Invested
$65.46
Value
$100.96
PnL
+$133.84
Record
49%
427-449 (876)
Invested
$8.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$21.6
Record
61%
78-49 (127)
dips.<$100Invested
$29
Value
$29
PnL
+$20.88
Record
45%
125-154 (279)
Invested
$12.5
Value
—
PnL
-$12.5
Record
46%
175-208 (383)
Invested
$17.04
Value
—
PnL
-$17.04
Record
55%
77-63 (140)
Invested
$15.71
Value
$15.71
PnL
+$10.47
Record
57%
139-106 (245)
Invested
$14.42
Value
—
PnL
-$9.42
Record
49%
193-198 (391)
Invested
$163.85
Value
—
PnL
-$67.18
Record
28%
130-331 (461)
Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$14.76
Record
27%
128-350 (478)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Under — $2.6K
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Under — $2.3K
6512395314597884
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Anon455
Under — $337.57
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
Under — $292.32
RN1
Under — $225
takeormake
CTROver — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Limousin
CTROver — $0
38791873984189
Under — $100.96