Spread: Clippers (-5.5)

9 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold Clippers (64%) · Clippers at 98¢ · $1K held · ended Nov 15

Clippers98¢Hornets2¢Ended Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Clippers

Consensus Traders

Clippers 64%

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$334.73

Smart Money Entry

53.2¢ → 98¢

+84% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

AvoidClippers at 98%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Clippers

9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Clippers98%

Hornets2%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Clippers9 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares1,577

Combined PnL+$44.89

Hornets5 traders

Total Value$160.19

Total Shares1,561

Combined PnL-$379.63

Clippers — 64%Hornets — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LI LightParadox	Clippersavg 30.7¢	$132.16	$406.68	+$274.52	38% 1454-2390 (3844)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Clippersavg 68¢	$1.1K	$264.97	-$227.87	54% 2084-1743 (3827)
TA takeormake	Clippersavg 60.2¢	$143.47	$167.93	+$24.46	57% 3727-2840 (6567)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Clippersavg 68¢	$132.6	$117.98	-$14.63	48% 653-716 (1369)
MI micky456CTR<$100	Hornetsavg 59¢	$63.72	$86.94	+$23.22	48% 654-715 (1369)
38 38791873984189<$100	Clippersavg 69.5¢	$54.06	$61.46	+$7.4	48% 4150-4555 (8705)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Hornetsavg 32.6¢	$378.21	$57.97	-$320.24	48% 4844-5167 (10011)
CI cigarettes<$100	Clippersavg 47¢	$35.47	$36.98	+$1.51	53% 7633-6716 (14349)
65 6512395314597884<$100	Clippersavg 40.8¢	$47.07	$30.56	-$16.51	50% 4146-4137 (8283)
RN1<$100	Clippersavg 46.1¢	$17.59	$11.2	-$0.54	54% 6165-5274 (11439)
PA Pan9X<$100	Clippersavg 41¢	$12.3	$8.85	-$3.45	50% 2305-2302 (4607)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Hornetsavg 53¢	$5.84	$7.77	+$1.93	49% 2930-3029 (5959)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Hornetsavg 32¢	$70.72	$4.42	-$66.3	38% 1433-2333 (3766)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Hornetsavg 34.5¢	$21.32	$3.09	-$18.23	48% 2668-2892 (5560)

LightParadox

Clippers

Invested

$132.16

Value

$406.68

PnL

+$274.52

Record

38%

1454-2390 (3844)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Clippers

Invested

$1,055.52

Value

$264.97

PnL

-$227.87

Record

54%

2084-1743 (3827)

takeormake

Clippers

Invested

$143.47

Value

$167.93

PnL

+$24.46

Record

57%

3727-2840 (6567)

CandleHammerDrums

Clippers

Invested

$132.6

Value

$117.98

PnL

-$14.63

Record

48%

653-716 (1369)

micky456CTR<$100

Hornets

Invested

$63.72

Value

$86.94

PnL

+$23.22

Record

48%

654-715 (1369)

38791873984189<$100

Clippers

Invested

$54.06

Value

$61.46

PnL

+$7.4

Record

48%

4150-4555 (8705)

FlaznorpCTR

Hornets

Invested

$378.21

Value

$57.97

PnL

-$320.24

Record

48%

4844-5167 (10011)

cigarettes<$100

Clippers

Invested

$35.47

Value

$36.98

PnL

+$1.51

Record

53%

7633-6716 (14349)

6512395314597884<$100

Clippers

Invested

$47.07

Value

$30.56

PnL

-$16.51

Record

50%

4146-4137 (8283)

RN1<$100

Clippers

Invested

$17.59

Value

$11.2

PnL

-$0.54

Record

54%

6165-5274 (11439)

Pan9X<$100

Clippers

Invested

$12.3

Value

$8.85

PnL

-$3.45

Record

50%

2305-2302 (4607)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Hornets

Invested

$5.84

Value

$7.77

PnL

+$1.93

Record

49%

2930-3029 (5959)

LimousinCTR<$100

Hornets

Invested

$70.72

Value

$4.42

PnL

-$66.3

Record

38%

1433-2333 (3766)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

Hornets

Invested

$21.32

Value

$3.09

PnL

-$18.23

Record

48%

2668-2892 (5560)

Research grade

AvoidClippers at 98%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.

Smart Money Signal

Clippers

9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Clippers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.0%

98.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.96

Max Loss

-$100.00

101.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.