LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 4 Winner

14 of 22 top Polymarket traders hold Ground Zero Gaming (64%) · Ground Zero Gaming at 100¢ · $38K held · ends Nov 11

Ground Zero Gaming>99¢Frank Esports<1¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Ground Zero Gaming

Consensus Traders

Ground Zero Gaming 64%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$37.7K

Combined PnL

$-7.5K

Smart Money Entry

80.8¢ → 99.5¢

+23% since entry · 14 traders

Research grade

NeutralGround Zero Gaming at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Ground Zero Gaming

14 of 22 top traders (64%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Ground Zero Gaming100%

Frank Esports1%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Ground Zero Gaming14 traders

Total Value$30.7K

Total Shares30,806

Combined PnL+$2.8K

Frank Esports8 traders

Total Value$190.84

Total Shares36,257

Combined PnL$-10.3K

Ground Zero Gaming — 64%Frank Esports — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Malfunction-	Ground Zero Gamingavg 99¢	$9.0K	$9.1K	+$45.61	98% 121-2 (123)
SK skadiiARB<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 61.2¢	$6.5K	$6.7K	+$205.64	— 3-1 (4)
└ Ground Zero Gaming leg	Ground Zero Gamingavg 61.2¢	$4.8K	$5.1K	+$225.1
└ Frank Esports leg	Frank Esportsavg 36.4¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	-$19.47
latvian.demon	Ground Zero Gamingavg 65¢	$2.2K	$3.4K	+$1.2K	4% 20-433 (453)
BR brobrobrobrobro	Ground Zero Gamingavg 69.8¢	$3.2K	$3.2K	+$43.87	10% 3-28 (31)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	Ground Zero Gamingavg 72.1¢	$2.9K	$2.9K	+$11.94	65% 52-28 (80)
31 319113331313111	Ground Zero Gamingavg 72.2¢	$2.6K	$2.8K	+$233.68	51% 61-59 (120)
SA sange772	Ground Zero Gamingavg 78.6¢	$2.0K	$2.5K	+$531.54	15% 3-17 (20)
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341	Ground Zero Gamingavg 70.3¢	$2.1K	$2.4K	+$296.48	8% 17-185 (202)
VV VVVSSP	Ground Zero Gamingavg 76¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	+$159.8	24% 15-47 (62)
SH shiifoo	Ground Zero Gamingavg 90¢	$882	$975.1	+$93.1	62% 1321-794 (2115)
TE testBruno2	Ground Zero Gamingavg 77.2¢	$1.7K	$922.16	+$111.4	37% 22-37 (59)
LI lightningbolts	Ground Zero Gamingavg 73¢	$561.66	$765.55	+$203.89	5% 8-145 (153)
LR lryyy	Ground Zero Gamingavg 98¢	$439.8	$307.12	-$132.68	46% 231-275 (506)
PA pauleta23	Ground Zero Gamingavg 98¢	$210	$203.26	-$6.74	28% 179-466 (645)
CA calculate10ARB<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 68.2¢	$2.2K	$191.03	+$180.76	22% 26-92 (118)
└ Ground Zero Gaming leg	Ground Zero Gamingavg 68.2¢	$122.1	$143.13	+$193.95
└ Frank Esports leg	Frank Esportsavg 25.9¢	$61.98	$47.9	-$13.19
NO norm1e69	Ground Zero Gamingavg 67¢	$100.5	$99.5	+$41	44% 1371-1730 (3101)
FR frohp5CTR	Frank Esportsavg 29.3¢	$5.8K	$98.32	$-5.7K	60% 1228-810 (2038)
CA calm919CTR	Frank Esportsavg 37.6¢	$2.6K	$34.22	$-2.5K	0% 0-81 (81)
10 10scatCTR	Frank Esportsavg 25.8¢	$1.1K	$21.37	$-1.1K	4% 20-520 (540)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR	Frank Esportsavg 23.1¢	$799.96	$17.3	-$782.66	20% 104-404 (508)
TKKnoallinCTR	Frank Esportsavg 13.9¢	$139.9	$5.03	-$134.87	9% 4-40 (44)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Frank Esportsavg 36¢	$5	$5	+$0	41% 3116-4481 (7597)
NE newwmanCTR	Frank Esportsavg 21.9¢	$520.7	$4.92	-$109.22	53% 369-326 (695)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Frank Esportsavg 31.7¢	$7.31	$4.69	+$1.48	54% 553-471 (1024)

Malfunction-

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$9,031.34

Value

$9.1K

PnL

+$45.61

Record

98%

121-2 (123)

skadiiARB<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$6,465.56

Value

$6.7K

PnL

+$205.64

Record

—

3-1 (4)

Both legs:

Ground Zero Gaming$4,849.9261.2¢+$225.1

Frank Esports$1,615.6336.4¢-$19.47

latvian.demon

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$2,195.78

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

20-433 (453)

brobrobrobrobro

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$3,154.27

Value

$3.2K

PnL

+$43.87

Record

10%

3-28 (31)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$2,853.62

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$11.94

Record

65%

52-28 (80)

319113331313111

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$2,582.41

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$233.68

Record

51%

61-59 (120)

sange772

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$2,000

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$531.54

Record

15%

3-17 (20)

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$2,141.51

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$296.48

Record

17-185 (202)

VVVSSP

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$1,292.11

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$159.8

Record

24%

15-47 (62)

shiifoo

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$882

Value

$975.1

PnL

+$93.1

Record

62%

1321-794 (2115)

testBruno2

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$1,680.27

Value

$922.16

PnL

+$111.4

Record

37%

22-37 (59)

lightningbolts

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$561.66

Value

$765.55

PnL

+$203.89

Record

8-145 (153)

lryyy

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$439.8

Value

$307.12

PnL

-$132.68

Record

46%

231-275 (506)

pauleta23

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$210

Value

$203.26

PnL

-$6.74

Record

28%

179-466 (645)

calculate10ARB<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$2,180.04

Value

$191.03

PnL

+$180.76

Record

22%

26-92 (118)

Both legs:

Ground Zero Gaming$122.168.2¢+$193.95

Frank Esports$61.9825.9¢-$13.19

norm1e69

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$100.5

Value

$99.5

PnL

+$41

Record

44%

1371-1730 (3101)

frohp5CTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$5,763.44

Value

$98.32

PnL

$-5.7K

Record

60%

1228-810 (2038)

calm919CTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$2,574.73

Value

$34.22

PnL

$-2.5K

Record

0-81 (81)

10scatCTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$1,102.14

Value

$21.37

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

20-520 (540)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$799.96

Value

$17.3

PnL

-$782.66

Record

20%

104-404 (508)

TKKnoallinCTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$139.9

Value

$5.03

PnL

-$134.87

Record

4-40 (44)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Frank Esports

Invested

Value

PnL

+$0

Record

41%

3116-4481 (7597)

newwmanCTR

Frank Esports

Invested

$520.7

Value

$4.92

PnL

-$109.22

Record

53%

369-326 (695)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Frank Esports

Invested

$7.31

Value

$4.69

PnL

+$1.48

Record

54%

553-471 (1024)

Research grade

NeutralGround Zero Gaming at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Ground Zero Gaming

14 of 22 top traders (64%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Ground Zero Gaming wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.