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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 5?
Resolved No. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 78%
Total Value
$0.52
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 9 top traders (78%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4886f01e...5b37b7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-november-5-2026-17c