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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 73%
Total Value
$0.05
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 11 top traders (73%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x71f6cc1b...a82857
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-november-6-2026-17c