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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 5?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
16
Yes 56%
Total Value
$0.32
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 16 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x534d0e74...dba185
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-5-2026-21c