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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 3
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes11%
No90%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance12.0%
10.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$732.72
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
832.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x94cb9053...a38106
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-november-3-2026-21c