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YesYesYesNo
balthazarCTR<$100NoYes
Istaroth<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 1?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 75%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
$490.73
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,095
Combined PnL+$515.23
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares66
Combined PnL-$24.5
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0 | Yesavg 49.6¢ | $443.64 | $894.89 | +$424.41 | 50% 673-674 (1347) |
HE hello.67 | Yesavg 55¢ | $87.51 | $159.1 | +$71.28 | 50% 1908-1873 (3781) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Yesavg 49.4¢ | $20.24 | $41.02 | +$19.54 | 53% 6690-5888 (12578) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Noavg 38.7¢ | $24.5 | — | -$24.5 | 59% 1921-1351 (3272) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 25.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21345-13642 (34987) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 66.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 54.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 365-1641 (2006) |
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0Invested
$443.64
Value
$894.89
PnL
+$424.41
Record
50%
673-674 (1347)
HE
hello.67Invested
$87.51
Value
$159.1
PnL
+$71.28
Record
50%
1908-1873 (3781)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
$20.24
Value
$41.02
PnL
+$19.54
Record
53%
6690-5888 (12578)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$24.5
Value
—
PnL
-$24.5
Record
59%
1921-1351 (3272)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21345-13642 (34987)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
365-1641 (2006)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf17050ad...580361
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-november-1-2026-30c