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YesYesYesNoYes
Istaroth<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 30?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$364.15
Combined PnL
$206.13
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$364.15
Total Shares364
Combined PnL+$206.13
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 44¢ | $169.2 | $364.15 | +$206.13 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 50.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100 | Yesavg 43.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 626-610 (1236) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6484-5687 (12171) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 49.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 300-1148 (1448) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15335-27408 (42743) |
24
241532532432Invested
$169.2
Value
$364.15
PnL
+$206.13
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
626-610 (1236)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6484-5687 (12171)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
300-1148 (1448)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15335-27408 (42743)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xef817c51...11cd4b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-october-30-2026-30c