Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on November 8?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Yes 100%
$0
-$8.06
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $4.79 | — | -$4.79 | 47% 47428-53893 (101321) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$2.27 | 32% 21778-45614 (67392) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | $0.23 | — | -$1 | 22% 3414-11955 (15369) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35457-83867 (119324) |
 LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18536-24186 (42722) |
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 2855-6557 (9412) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 35% 1158-2115 (3273) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 25558-21177 (46735) |
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 3999-6085 (10084) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 25722-21534 (47256) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6186-7390 (13576) |
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6896-8155 (15051) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 21529-21407 (42936) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 16720-20376 (37096) |
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 5572-7255 (12827) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 24093-24636 (48729) |
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 9328-9390 (18718) |
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6642-7775 (14417) |
Invested
$4.79
Value
—
PnL
-$4.79
Record
47%
47428-53893 (101321)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$2.27
Record
32%
21778-45614 (67392)
Invested
$0.23
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
22%
3414-11955 (15369)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35457-83867 (119324)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18536-24186 (42722)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
2855-6557 (9412)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
1158-2115 (3273)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
25558-21177 (46735)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
3999-6085 (10084)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
25722-21534 (47256)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6186-7390 (13576)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6896-8155 (15051)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
21529-21407 (42936)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
16720-20376 (37096)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
5572-7255 (12827)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
24093-24636 (48729)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
9328-9390 (18718)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6642-7775 (14417)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
qwen300.fund
CTRYes — $0
xtxpleasecallme
CTRYes — $0
luciebot
CTRYes — $0
balthazar
CTRYes — $0
Lucerys
CTRYes — $0
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225
No — $0
anothercoin
CTRYes — $0
graynotebook19
No — $0
haveagoodday
CTRYes — $0
northdrawer
No — $0