Back to Markets
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 3?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 3
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes36%
No64%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance38.2%
36.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$162.02
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
262.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xeae425c5...3133be
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-november-3-2026-26c