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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 5?
Resolved No. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
17
Yes 53%
Total Value
$53.33
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 17 top traders (53%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc3b1dcb8...a01e31
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-november-5-2026-31c