Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 8?

Resolved No. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Yes 71%

Total Value

$112.19

Combined PnL

-$28.98

Smart Money Signal

Yes

10 of 22 top traders (45%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No12 traders

Total Value$112.19

Total Shares112

Combined PnL+$13.24

Yes10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares310

Combined PnL-$42.21

No — 55%Yes — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GH ghorrock<$100	Noavg 89.5¢	$76.95	$86.6	+$9.65	57% 24781-18350 (43131)
PO Poligarch<$100	Noavg 86.5¢	$21.4	$24.89	+$3.49	55% 26028-21332 (47360)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100	Noavg 86.2¢	$0.6	$0.7	+$0.1	30% 2855-6557 (9412)
HE hello.67CTR<$100	Yesavg 20.2¢	$19.97	—	-$19.2	25% 2365-7040 (9405)
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100	Yesavg 13.6¢	$9.64	—	-$9.24	57% 921-700 (1621)
BI BilberryCTR<$100	Yesavg 13.8¢	$9.46	—	-$9.07	53% 5080-4437 (9517)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	-$4.67	69% 16764-7368 (24132)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.6¢	$0.04	—	-$0.04	22% 3414-11955 (15369)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 83¢	—	—	+$0	30% 35457-83867 (119324)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 86.6¢	—	—	+$0	43% 18536-24186 (42722)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 70¢	—	—	+$0	32% 21778-45614 (67392)
QW qwen300.fund<$100	Noavg 86.9¢	—	—	+$0	47% 47428-53893 (101321)
NO northdrawer<$100	Noavg 53.3¢	—	—	+$0	54% 25722-21534 (47256)
CI cigarettes<$100	Noavg 99¢	—	—	+$0	50% 66106-66575 (132681)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100	Noavg 81.2¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6186-7390 (13576)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100	Yesavg 5.8¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6896-8155 (15051)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100	Yesavg 12¢	—	—	+$0	43% 5572-7255 (12827)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100	Yesavg 19.8¢	—	—	+$0	52% 8997-8176 (17173)
MI mildwindow27<$100	Noavg 86.6¢	—	—	+$0	49% 24093-24636 (48729)
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100	Yesavg 5¢	—	—	+$0	50% 9328-9390 (18718)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	Noavg 86.1¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6642-7775 (14417)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yesavg 13.6¢	—	—	+$0	13% 703-4662 (5365)