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NoNoNoYesYesYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Bahrain vs. Yemen end in a draw?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$984.96
Combined PnL
-$91.83
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$984.96
Total Shares985
Combined PnL+$66.61
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares636
Combined PnL-$158.45
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 73.3¢ | $549.67 | $648.06 | +$98.39 | 49% 3769-3940 (7709) |
PE pelik | Noavg 99.9¢ | $262.37 | $262.63 | +$0.26 | 99% 1552-4 (1556) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $55.47 | $73.96 | +$18.49 | 53% 2055-1798 (3853) |
MO mouzsynapseCTR | Yesavg 23¢ | $104.95 | — | -$104.95 | 40% 114-172 (286) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 31.7¢ | $49.51 | — | -$49.51 | 46% 2546-3015 (5561) |
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.9¢ | $3.99 | — | -$3.99 | 21% 55-205 (260) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 77¢ | $377.3 | $0.31 | -$50.53 | 39% 3636-5765 (9401) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$549.67
Value
$648.06
PnL
+$98.39
Record
49%
3769-3940 (7709)
PE
pelikInvested
$262.37
Value
$262.63
PnL
+$0.26
Record
99%
1552-4 (1556)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$55.47
Value
$73.96
PnL
+$18.49
Record
53%
2055-1798 (3853)
MO
mouzsynapseCTRInvested
$104.95
Value
—
PnL
-$104.95
Record
40%
114-172 (286)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$49.51
Value
—
PnL
-$49.51
Record
46%
2546-3015 (5561)
0X
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100Invested
$3.99
Value
—
PnL
-$3.99
Record
21%
55-205 (260)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$377.3
Value
$0.31
PnL
-$50.53
Record
39%
3636-5765 (9401)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa9b171f2...59b417
Slug
fif-bah1-yem-2026-11-14-draw