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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 9:00 PM ET?

Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

46

Yes 73%

Total Value

$56.6K

Combined PnL

$2.9K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

29 of 46 top traders (63%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes29 traders
Total Value$56.0K
Total Shares55,965
Combined PnL+$9.0K
No17 traders
Total Value$596.47
Total Shares8,567
Combined PnL$-6.1K
Yes — 63%No — 37%
0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319
Yes

Invested

$28,586.88

Value

$28.7K

PnL

+$111.64

Record

59%

1132-780 (1912)

yen4u
Yes

Invested

$8,340.23

Value

$8.4K

PnL

+$87.92

Record

43%

26-34 (60)

FaroeseNationalist
Yes

Invested

$5,538.34

Value

$5.6K

PnL

+$16.66

Record

50%

14-14 (28)

DO
dogerfad
Yes

Invested

$2,882.12

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$99.52

Record

—

4-2 (6)

0X
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
Yes

Invested

$122.66

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$1.9K

Record

—

4-1 (5)

Relaccsed
Yes

Invested

$951.18

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$490.17

Record

79%

22-6 (28)

Lolakis
Yes

Invested

$1,449.18

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$15.13

Record

20%

8-32 (40)

XT
xtxpleasecallme
Yes

Invested

$2,936.83

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$818.99

Record

39%

3605-5672 (9277)

CO
Contestable-Parfait
Yes

Invested

$1,102.21

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$34.97

Record

46%

142-167 (309)

WordleAddict
Yes

Invested

$2,524.58

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$194.88

Record

—

2-3 (5)

TBill1
Yes

Invested

$931.01

Value

$879.53

PnL

-$51.48

Record

3%

3-111 (114)

SA
SaylorMoonCTR
No

Invested

$3,183.06

Value

$596.47

PnL

$-2.6K

Record

4%

2-53 (55)

extractive-manatee
Yes

Invested

$66.81

Value

$522.64

PnL

+$1.4K

Record

—

2-3 (5)

GollumGekko
Yes

Invested

$301.09

Value

$337.7

PnL

+$2.2K

Record

—

2-3 (5)

0X
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
Yes

Invested

$301.54

Value

$231.82

PnL

-$117.66

Record

5%

3-55 (58)

probability<$100
Yes

Invested

$65.41

Value

$76.76

PnL

+$11.35

Record

42%

20-28 (48)

Dr.mett
Yes

Invested

$194.59

Value

$50.4

PnL

+$2.15

Record

—

13-2 (15)

HU
hugecaulk<$100
Yes

Invested

$14.75

Value

$25.57

PnL

+$10.81

Record

29%

9-22 (31)

mombil<$100
Yes

Invested

$13.64

Value

$20.47

PnL

+$6.83

Record

5%

1-19 (20)

Robbb<$100
Yes

Invested

$7.96

Value

$10.16

PnL

+$2.2

Record

—

11-2 (13)

LO
lovefield
Yes

Invested

$4,837.17

Value

$0.6

PnL

-$7.26

Record

19%

10-44 (54)

0X
0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4
Yes

Invested

$9,344.54

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$619.34

Record

—

7-7 (14)

smellyEllie
Yes

Invested

$107.7

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$402.18

Record

41%

9-13 (22)

Car
Yes

Invested

$1,555.41

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$19.86

Record

68%

1406-651 (2057)

OK
okcoolstorybro
Yes

Invested

$2,065.29

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$74.84

Record

—

6-5 (11)