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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 58%

Total Value

$702.66

Combined PnL

$25.46

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$702.66

Total Shares703

Combined PnL+$77.06

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares128

Combined PnL-$51.61

Down — 58%Up — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 99.1¢	$227.26	$224.09	-$3.17	30% 12152-28123 (40275)
pspspsps5	Downavg 80¢	$154.97	$193.5	+$38.53	45% 40037-47965 (88002)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 77.3¢	$76.28	$80.82	+$4.54	51% 10467-9935 (20402)
OhioRiskManagement	Downavg 76.7¢	$79.32	$100.02	+$20.69	49% 80904-84349 (165253)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 76.6¢	$49.46	$62.76	+$13.3	47% 6472-7172 (13644)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 82.3¢	$25.33	$30.47	+$5.14	55% 51621-42810 (94431)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 18.1¢	$19.35	—	-$19.35	51% 12016-11488 (23504)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 46.7¢	$14.52	—	-$14.52	58% 63234-46452 (109686)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 98.1¢	$12.98	$11	-$1.98	65% 130170-70085 (200255)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$10.96	—	-$10.96	56% 60478-47044 (107522)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 25¢	$5	—	-$5	61% 46036-29200 (75236)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 25.3¢	$1.77	—	-$1.77	61% 98537-62529 (161066)

Invested

$227.26

Value

$224.09

PnL

-$3.17

Record

30%

12152-28123 (40275)

Invested

$154.97

Value

$193.5

PnL

+$38.53

Record

45%

40037-47965 (88002)

Invested

$76.28

Value

$80.82

PnL

+$4.54

Record

51%

10467-9935 (20402)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$79.32

Value

$100.02

PnL

+$20.69

Record

49%

80904-84349 (165253)

Invested

$49.46

Value

$62.76

PnL

+$13.3

Record

47%

6472-7172 (13644)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$25.33

Value

$30.47

PnL

+$5.14

Record

55%

51621-42810 (94431)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$19.35

Value

—

PnL

-$19.35

Record

51%

12016-11488 (23504)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$14.52

Value

—

PnL

-$14.52

Record

58%

63234-46452 (109686)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$12.98

Value

$11

PnL

-$1.98

Record

65%

130170-70085 (200255)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$10.96

Value

—

PnL

-$10.96

Record

56%

60478-47044 (107522)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$5

Record

61%

46036-29200 (75236)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.77

Value

—

PnL

-$1.77

Record

61%

98537-62529 (161066)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xaf471ff1...4f6046

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793997300

Traders in this Market

Hcrystallash

Down — $224.09

pspspsps5

Down — $193.5

ply-pm2

Down — $80.82

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $100.02

asdcaxz

Down — $62.76

MayorMamdani

Down — $30.47

blue.birds

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $11

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

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