Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Up 81%
$1.2K
$106.04
Smart Money Signal
13 of 16 top traders (81%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 99Β’ | $340.61 | $337.02 | -$3.59 | 29% 11455-27656 (39111) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 71.7Β’ | $221.07 | $308.28 | +$87.21 | 57% 76514-58860 (135374) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 77.6Β’ | $141.36 | $155.07 | +$13.71 | 51% 9592-9177 (18769) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 74.5Β’ | $154.55 | $155 | +$0.45 | 48% 5573-6007 (11580) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 72.2Β’ | $73.65 | $55 | -$18.65 | 67% 101397-49715 (151112) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | $39.86 | $52.69 | +$12.83 | 49% 79812-83277 (163089) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 79.2Β’ | $39.6 | $50 | +$10.4 | 74% 104328-36850 (141178) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 77.5Β’ | $30.63 | $39.53 | +$8.9 | 51% 11083-10569 (21652) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 66.6Β’ | $13.32 | $20 | +$6.68 | 65% 128751-68998 (197749) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 82.8Β’ | $9.27 | $11.19 | +$1.93 | 61% 97755-61856 (159611) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.9Β’ | $4.5 | $5.24 | +$0.74 | 66% 129276-66666 (195942) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 81.1Β’ | $4.06 | $5 | +$0.94 | 52% 93062-87484 (180546) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $0.97 | $1 | +$0.03 | 91% 26779-2517 (29296) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.7Β’ | $10.55 | β | -$10.55 | 58% 62279-45653 (107932) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.5Β’ | $4.69 | β | -$4.69 | 56% 59680-46278 (105958) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3Β’ | $0.3 | β | -$0.3 | 46% 39431-46955 (86386) |
Invested
$340.61
Value
$337.02
PnL
-$3.59
Record
29%
11455-27656 (39111)
Invested
$221.07
Value
$308.28
PnL
+$87.21
Record
57%
76514-58860 (135374)
Invested
$141.36
Value
$155.07
PnL
+$13.71
Record
51%
9592-9177 (18769)
Invested
$154.55
Value
$155
PnL
+$0.45
Record
48%
5573-6007 (11580)
Invested
$73.65
Value
$55
PnL
-$18.65
Record
67%
101397-49715 (151112)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$39.86
Value
$52.69
PnL
+$12.83
Record
49%
79812-83277 (163089)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$39.6
Value
$50
PnL
+$10.4
Record
74%
104328-36850 (141178)
Invested
$30.63
Value
$39.53
PnL
+$8.9
Record
51%
11083-10569 (21652)
Invested
$13.32
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.68
Record
65%
128751-68998 (197749)
Invested
$9.27
Value
$11.19
PnL
+$1.93
Record
61%
97755-61856 (159611)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.24
PnL
+$0.74
Record
66%
129276-66666 (195942)
Invested
$4.06
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.94
Record
52%
93062-87484 (180546)
Invested
$0.97
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.03
Record
91%
26779-2517 (29296)
Invested
$10.55
Value
β
PnL
-$10.55
Record
58%
62279-45653 (107932)
Invested
$4.69
Value
β
PnL
-$4.69
Record
56%
59680-46278 (105958)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
β
PnL
-$0.3
Record
46%
39431-46955 (86386)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Up β $337.02
uninformedfloww
Up β $308.28
ply-pm2
Up β $155.07
asdcaxz
Up β $155
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $55

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $52.69

BoneOhio
Up β $50
blue.birds
Up β $39.53
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $20
asidjasiodja
Up β $11.19